ABP Information Cvoter Survey Snap Ballot Goa Manipur Election 2022 Kaun Banerga Mukhyamantri Ultimate Vote Share Seat Share


ABP-CVoter Survey: There are elections for 5 State Assemblies in February-March 2022. Uttar Pradesh, Goa, Manipur, Uttarakhand, and Punjab will go for the polls in March 2022. Apart from Punjab, all these states are dominated by the Bhartiya Janata Half (BJP). 

As per the most recent survey by ABP Information & CVoter, the ruling BJP is prone to retain their governments in Goa and Manipur. 

Within the earlier election in 2017, the Indian Nationwide Congress was the single-largest celebration in each the states however didn’t cross the bulk mark. Thus, BJP managed to rope in MLA’s from rival factions and in addition unbiased ones to assist their governments within the state. The construction of each these Assemblies modified drastically after the election.

Hassle brewed for the BJP-led authorities of Biren Singh after six MLAs withdrew their assist whereas three BJP legislators give up the celebration and joined the Congress on June 17. Nonetheless, CM N Biren Singh received the belief vote by a snug margin of 28-16 on August 10 and the six Congress leaders had submitted their resignation from the Meeting quickly after it.

ABP-CVoter Survey, October 2021 Predictions Manipur:

Below celebration alliance votes, ABP-CVoter Survey projected that INC will get 34.5 p.c vote shares, BJP 35.6 p.c, (dip from 40.5 in September 2021), NPF 8.6 p.c, and Others 21.3 p.c within the upcoming elections. Whereas numbers of seats predicted are INC 23, BJP 28, NPF 6, and others 3.

The numbers augur nicely for the saffron celebration within the upcoming Meeting elections within the state.








Alliance  2017 Outcomes 2021 Projection Swing
INC 35.1 34.5 -0.6
BJP 36.3 35.6 -0.7
NPF 7.2 8.6 1.4
Others 21.4 21.3 -0.1








Alliance  2017 Outcomes 2021 Projection Change
INC 28 23 -5
BJP 21 28 7
NPF 4 6 2
Others 7 3 4

Within the final Meeting elections in 2017, Congress emerged as the only largest celebration, successful 28 of the 60 seats falling in need of the bulk by three seats. The BJP completed second with 21 seats however shaped the federal government with the assist of 11 MLAs from the NPP, NPF, and independents, together with one Trinamool Congress MLA.

ABP-CVoter Survey, October 2021 Predictions Goa:

Below celebration alliance, ABP-CVoter Survey projected vote share at 18.3 p.c for INC, BJP to get 37.5 p.c, AAP to get 22.8 p.c,  and Others 21.4 p.c vote share within the upcoming elections. Whereas numbers of seats had been predicted for INC 4, BJP 27, AAP 5, and Others 6. This time the survey additionally initiatives the BJP to reign in energy for the consecutive 12 months. 








Alliance  2017 Outcomes 2021 Projection Swing
INC 28.4 18.3 -10.1
BJP 32.5 37.5 5.0
AAP 6.3 22.8 16.5
Others 32.8 21.4 -11.4








Alliance  2017 Outcomes 2021 Projection Change
INC 17 4 -13
BJP 13 27 14
AAP 0 5 5
Others 10 6 -4

In 2017, the Goa election outcomes threw up a hung meeting within the state with the Bharatiya Janata Social gathering (BJP) successful 13 seats and the Congress 17 within the 40-member meeting. Nonetheless,  the BJP shaped an alliance by drawing the assist of the Goa Ahead Social gathering (GFP), Maharastrawadi Gomantak Social gathering (MGP), and two Independents, to achieve the magic determine of 21 within the 40-member home.


DISCLAIMER 

The current opinion ballot/ survey was carried out by CVoter. The methodology used is CATI interviews of grownup (18+) respondents with random numbers drawn from normal RDD and the pattern measurement for a similar is 81000+ throughout 5 cities (UP, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Goa, and Manipur) & the survey was carried out throughout the interval 1st August 2021 to 2nd September 2021. The identical can also be anticipated to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5% and should not essentially have factored in all standards.

 



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