Goa Elections 2022: Congress will carry out effectively, TMC could flop, say observers

With simply over a month to go for Meeting elections in Goa, political observers really feel the Congress could upset BJP’s plans for retaining energy within the coastal state, however seem much less enthused about Trinamool Congress, whose entry has added color to the ballot marketing campaign.

“Congress will win round 20 of the 40 Meeting seats, whereas the BJP will garner round 15 seats,” a veteran political analyst based mostly within the Goa capital informed PTI.

“The Maharashtrawadi Gomantak Social gathering (MGP) is prone to win 3 to 4 seats, and the Aam admi Social gathering (AAP) will bag a seat or two,” the analyst mentioned. He attributed the ballot prospects of MGP, which got here into prominence beneath the management of Goa’s first chief minister Dayanand Bandodkar, to its alliance with the Mamata Banerjee-led TMC.

“By itself, MGP could have fared very badly. However TMC’s financial clout will assist it,” he added. Former State Election Commissioner Prabhakar Timblo mentioned Congress will type the subsequent authorities within the coastal state.

Additionally learn: TMC’s presence in Goa will solely assist BJP in polls, says Shiv Sena’s Sanjay Raut

“Anti-incumbency may be very excessive within the state, and that may work towards the BJP,” he added. The grand outdated social gathering will win round 20-22 seats, Timblo mentioned. “Congress will do effectively so long as it doesn’t undertaking those that have crossed their expiry date in politics in these elections,” he added.

Timblo was emphatic that neither TMC nor AAP can have a lot of an impression within the February 14 elections. Giriraj Pai Vernekar, a political analyst and a BJP sympathizer, mentioned the ruling social gathering introduced a report card of its regime’s efficiency within the final 10 years, whereas looking for votes.

“BJP is just not afraid of anti-incumbency as folks know {that a} double-engine authorities is critical to proceed the state’s growth. In any other case, there may be confrontation between the Centre and the state, as in case of West Bengal,” he mentioned.

Durgadas Kamat, Common Secretary of Goa Ahead Social gathering (GFP), which has a pre-poll alliance with Congress, mentioned that the alliance will likely be victorious. “There’s a groundswell towards the BJP and in favour of Congress and GFP as folks know we may give a very good and trustworthy authorities,” he mentioned.

AAP Goa unit convener Rahul Mhambrey mentioned the Arvind Kejriwal-led social gathering is projecting “recent and clear faces” within the subsequent month’s Meeting elections. “Individuals have seen the Delhi mannequin of growth. We’ll emulate it right here,” he added.

There’s additionally a chat of a grand alliance of all opposition events that might successfully keep away from the cut up of the normal Congress votes in lots of constituencies and trigger concern for the ruling BJP. Nonetheless, nothing concrete has emerged on that entrance thus far.

Additionally learn: Goa Minister resigns, says social gathering sidelining small staff

Distinguished leaders like PM Narendra Modi, West Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee, Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal, and Congress chief Rahul Gandhi had been in Goa forward of the elections. BJP chief J P Nadda, Union minister Nitin Gadkari and former Union minister P Chidambaram had been different outstanding leaders to go to the coastal state.

Two main pre-poll alliances took form in Goa. Congress has tied up with GFP, a regional outfit that was part of the Manohar Parrikar authorities in 2017, whereas TMC has discovered a regional accomplice within the type of MGP, which fought the 2017 polls in alliance with the Shiv Sena however later joined the Parrikar-led authorities.

In the previous couple of months, many posters that includes Mamata Banerjee’s picture and the slogan ‘Goenchi Navi Sakal’ (Goa’s new daybreak) have been put throughout the state. TMC MPs Mahua Moitra and Derek O’Brien are main the social gathering’s marketing campaign in Goa.

AAP entered Goa’s political scene in the course of the 2017 Meeting elections and tried to construct a base within the coastal state. Within the 2017 Goa Meeting polls, BJP gained solely 13 seats whereas Congress gained in 17 constituencies.

Nonetheless, BJP staked declare to type the federal government with the assist of three MGP MLAs, 3 GFP MLAs, two Independents and an NCP MLA beneath the management of Parrikar who resigned as defence minister to return to the coastal state. After Parrikar’s loss of life in March 2019, then Meeting Speaker Pramod Sawant turned the CM. Sawant’s administration has are available for reward from PM Modi for his dealing with of the coronavirus pandemic and vaccination drive.

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